You are viewing our Forum Archives. To view or take place in current topics click here.
tricky question for you
Posted:

tricky question for youPosted:

KyIie
  • Christmas!
Status: Offline
Joined: Jul 11, 20176Year Member
Posts: 344
Reputation Power: 54
Status: Offline
Joined: Jul 11, 20176Year Member
Posts: 344
Reputation Power: 54
You are a contestant in a game show, and the game show host tells you there is a prize behind one of the three doors you face. You have to guess which door to open.

But when you make your guess, instead of opening the door you picked, the game show host opens a different door...one that he knows has nothing behind it. So now you're down to two doors. And the game show host says, "I'll let you change your choice, if you want to."

And the question is, do you change your guess? Or keep your original choice?

The following 3 users thanked KyIie for this useful post:

Rodent (05-19-2018), G6 (05-19-2018), Boss34 (05-18-2018)
#2. Posted:
Brandon
  • Administrator
Status: Offline
Joined: Mar 24, 201311Year Member
Posts: 2,833
Reputation Power: 30858
Motto: I may not have gone where I intended to go, but I think I have ended up where I needed to be.
Motto: I may not have gone where I intended to go, but I think I have ended up where I needed to be.
Status: Offline
Joined: Mar 24, 201311Year Member
Posts: 2,833
Reputation Power: 30858
Motto: I may not have gone where I intended to go, but I think I have ended up where I needed to be.
Keep my choice. The probability chance doesn't change. You might still be right.
#3. Posted:
Blizzard
  • TTG Addict
Status: Offline
Joined: Oct 01, 20149Year Member
Posts: 2,657
Reputation Power: 412
Status: Offline
Joined: Oct 01, 20149Year Member
Posts: 2,657
Reputation Power: 412
Original choice always go with your gut instinct
#4. Posted:
ProfessorNobody
  • TTG Contender
Status: Offline
Joined: Nov 07, 201211Year Member
Posts: 3,732
Reputation Power: 362
Status: Offline
Joined: Nov 07, 201211Year Member
Posts: 3,732
Reputation Power: 362
Change your answer.

It's a common misconception that the probability doesn't change but it does really.



In short, stick with the same door and you win 1/3 of the time.
Change and you win 2/3 of the time.
#5. Posted:
Famous
  • Retired Staff
Status: Offline
Joined: Dec 22, 201112Year Member
Posts: 17,361
Reputation Power: 6246
Status: Offline
Joined: Dec 22, 201112Year Member
Posts: 17,361
Reputation Power: 6246
I would stick with my choice for sure.
#6. Posted:
Boss34
  • TTG Destroyer
Status: Offline
Joined: Oct 12, 20149Year Member
Posts: 7,067
Reputation Power: 687
Status: Offline
Joined: Oct 12, 20149Year Member
Posts: 7,067
Reputation Power: 687
I'd stick with my choice, you changing your choice would probably make you lose.
#7. Posted:
Maze
  • Fairy Master
Status: Offline
Joined: Nov 24, 201112Year Member
Posts: 13,691
Reputation Power: 40010
Motto: All Time High Monthly Posts achieved in June 2018. jukly forever. #BanC4
Motto: All Time High Monthly Posts achieved in June 2018. jukly forever. #BanC4
Status: Offline
Joined: Nov 24, 201112Year Member
Posts: 13,691
Reputation Power: 40010
Motto: All Time High Monthly Posts achieved in June 2018. jukly forever. #BanC4
I think I'd go with the original door.
#8. Posted:
Sunder
  • TTG Addict
Status: Offline
Joined: Nov 05, 201112Year Member
Posts: 2,315
Reputation Power: 1306
Status: Offline
Joined: Nov 05, 201112Year Member
Posts: 2,315
Reputation Power: 1306
Keep the door you've chosen

Theres a science behind going with your gut and I don't mean your gut feeling will give you the right lottery numbers

However going with your gut feeling i.e. the feeling that pushed you to pick that door is a positive thing

If you changed door when offered then the prize was behind the original door you picked you'd all of a sudden be filled with anger and have almost a hate towards yourself for not believing in yourself

Vs

If you kept the door you picked but the prize wasn't there you wouldn't feel so much anger because you done what you believed was the best choice
#9. Posted:
Saxbyy
  • E3 2018
Status: Offline
Joined: May 10, 20185Year Member
Posts: 2,707
Reputation Power: 578
Status: Offline
Joined: May 10, 20185Year Member
Posts: 2,707
Reputation Power: 578
Don't know how many will get the reference but shit here goes.

They just need to bone

if you dont get it its from B99 when Holt and Kevin are arguing about this problem and Rosa says that Holt is pent up and just needs to bone his husband
#10. Posted:
xDustyx
  • TTG Contender
Status: Offline
Joined: Oct 19, 201013Year Member
Posts: 3,241
Reputation Power: 548
Status: Offline
Joined: Oct 19, 201013Year Member
Posts: 3,241
Reputation Power: 548
id swap because when i chose my door the first time the chances were 33,3% but now they are 66,6% to get the right door
Jump to:
You are viewing our Forum Archives. To view or take place in current topics click here.