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What to bet on today.
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What to bet on today.Posted:

ExSportsable
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Joined: Sep 30, 201310Year Member
Posts: 97
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Status: Offline
Joined: Sep 30, 201310Year Member
Posts: 97
Reputation Power: 3
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Since my Steam account is hacked I decided to piece this little guide together.

Date: 30th of October
Time: 17:00 CET
Tournament/League: ESWC 2014
LAN/Online: Online
Maps: BO1, TBA
Fnatic: JW, KRiMZ, pronax, flusha, olofm
Natus Vincere: seized, Edward, Zeus, starix, GuardiaN
CSGOLOUNGE ODDS: Fnatic 81% vs Na'Vi 19%
MY ODDS: Fnatic 70% vs Na'Vi 30%
RISK: High
MY BET: Nothing so far

These two teams have not played each ohter in a while now and I can't really say that I'm that impressed by Na'Vis former results compared to Fnatics.

Na'Vi have been struggle both on LAN and online and it have recently felt like it's Seized and Guardian that is supposed to carry the team compared to before. As we saw with Na'Vis first match during the Faceit tournament, he had a score of 3/22 in stats. And Na'Vi got rekt.

Fnatic just won the Faceit tournament with a 100% winning ratio in matches. What I love about fnatic is that they got 5 players that are all capable of doing the clutches.

Fnatic have while Na'Vi are just standing still been improving alot, improving more and more day by day and it currently feels like no team have found a way to stop their aggressive playstyle as CT where JW is roaming around getting the early picks / map control.

Fnatic are currently the better team. More consistent and have been doing better both on LAN and Online. Plus that JW is just way more consistent than Guardian at the moment. And same goes for Seized. Because we have seen that if JW falls down of the scoreboard on a match or two that it doesn't change the result from a win to a loss. But for example in Na'Vis roster, as we could see. As soon as Seized did bad, they lost. That's the big difference between these two teams at the moment.

This is a best of one. And a best of one is never good, because it's mostly about "Who will the map favor?"

So what map will each team veto?

de_dust2 Fnatic
de_inferno PICK
de_nuke Na'Vi
de_mirage Fnatic
de_cache Na'Vi
de_cobblestone Na'Vi
de_overpass Fnatic

This seems to be the most logical choice of map.
Fnatic should veto de_dust2, de_mirage, de_overpass.
These three maps are maps that Fnatic are good on. But at the same time, they are beasts on inferno and de_inferno is the weakest map for Na'Vi, which makes the odds stronger for Fnatic.

Na'Vi should veto de_nuke, de_cache, de_cobblestone.
Na'Vi have never really been that strong on de_nuke, and have always had that as a first veto, unless for the G3 tournament, where they lost on nuke anyway. De_Cache is a map where they have never been strong at. Been doing fine but I think they can do the math themselves that they will not do that well on it against a well organised fnatic.

Based on our prediction that it will be de_inferno, we can only say that OUR CHOICE will be Fnatic.

Why?
Because I don't think that Na'Vis special 20 sec pushes will have a big affect on fnatic's aggressive playstyle since Na'Vi are mostly waiting for picks. Which I do not think will work that well for them tomorrow.

The last that Na'Vi attended was just a terrible tournament for them imo. The odds are a bit skewed so our suggestion is to skip this match because Na'Vi do not deserve to be down 18%. But at the same time, Fnatic are that much better right now so our choice will still be on Fnatic.

Date: 30th of October
Time: 16:00 CET
Tournament/League: ESCW
LAN/Online: LAN
Maps: De_TBA
LDLC shox,NBK,SmithZz, HappY, kioShiMa
VP: Snax, Neo pazasha byali, taz
CSGOLOUNGE ODDS: LDLC 72% vs VP 28%
MY ODDS: LDLC 57% vs VP 43%
RISK: V-HIGH
MY BET: Nothing so far!

This is a tough match, no doubt. They faced each other in the faceit tournament where LDLC won 2-0 against them. But LDLC have not done that well after that and been playing lots of french teams online afterwards while VP have had the time to look into what they did wrong and what they could do better in a different way.

LDLC is the team that have been improving the most compared to all teams out there lately and are a very dangerous opponent. Because they got a great individual skill. Better than VP, and they are improving more and more with their teamplay and strats.

The odds are though very skewed up. 72% in favor of LDLC is madness in my opinion. VP are not that bad and can definitely cause an upset here.

Map pool / Veto

de_dust2 VP
de_inferno
de_nuke LDLC
de_mirage LDLC
de_cache VP
de_cobblestone VP
de_overpass

LDLC should veto nuke, mirage,

VP should veto de_dust2, de_cache, de_cobblestone.
de_dust2 is just a map that LDLC are better on and Cobblestone is a map that VP just do not like. The reason why they should veto de_cache is because it used to be one of their better maps but they have recently been struggling alot on this map. Against most of the teams they have played. Cloud9, fnatic, LDLC & more.

So depending on who gets to ban first, the map should be between Overpass & Inferno. In that case, Overpass is more or less a coin-toss. Both of the teams are good on Overpass. Which team is the better team on it is hard to tell because neither of the teams have played it alot.

De_inferno. LDLC barely won the last time, they played it 16:14 against VP and did struggle alot actually. While VP have been improving alot, more and more on inferno and that is why I disagree completely with the odds here. The odds are still in LDLC's favor but OUR CHOICE here will be VP. Because VP got a bigger chance than what the odds are telling us so we suggest a ICB bet on VP here!

ICB = Inventory cleaner bet, for example 4x 0.5$ skins. Depending on how big your inventory is.

Date: 30th of October
Time: 18:00 CET
Tournament/League:
LAN/Online: LAN
Maps: BO1 (TBA)
Cloud9: n0thing, shroud, sgares, Hiko, semphis
LDLC: shox, NBK, SmithZz, Happy, kioShiMa
CSGOLOUNGE ODDS: Cloud9 23% vs LDLC 77%
MY ODDS: Cloud9 30% vsLDLC 70%
RISK: High
MY BET: Nothing so far!

Cloud9 haven't had that much time to improve that much compared to what they used the last time. They didn't impress me that much at all to be honest and their map pool have just grown to be in more favor of LDLC now when season is gone.

So due to the chances for Cloud9 and that they got even lower compared to the last tournament makes this call even easier.

LDLC is the better team in general. Been playing better as a team and got the better individual skill as well. Plus they got more experience on almost all the maps in my opinon based on how each team play. So therefore our choice will be LDLC here.

MY CHOICES:
LDLC vs VP = VP (LOW)
Fnatic vs Na'Vi = Fnatic
Cloud9 vs LDLC = LDLC
#2. Posted:
ExSportsable
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Hope you people followed my advice, VP won against LDLC.
#3. Posted:
Hoop
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Thanks for the advice, is it possible you could do more of these? Maybe it might become a sticky if you make a thread of some of the recent games and the predictions. I understand it is a lot of work but lots of people including myself will appreciate it.
#4. Posted:
ExSportsable
  • Junior Member
Status: Offline
Joined: Sep 30, 201310Year Member
Posts: 97
Reputation Power: 3
Status: Offline
Joined: Sep 30, 201310Year Member
Posts: 97
Reputation Power: 3
Hoop wrote Thanks for the advice, is it possible you could do more of these? Maybe it might become a sticky if you make a thread of some of the recent games and the predictions. I understand it is a lot of work but lots of people including myself will appreciate it.

Sure, I will. I'm glad you appreciate it.
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